Raw Materials

Hindalco Industries

HINDALCONSEMega CapParent: Aditya Birla Group

Live₹1,057syncing…

Aluminium and copper major with semiconductor-stack relevance via copper and aluminium supply.

Market Cap

₹2.38L cr

Price

1057

1Y 8%

Direct exposure

20/100

0–100 directness

Hold / Watchlist

Fundamental

48/ 100

Quality of growth, returns, cash conversion and balance sheet

Technical (TQ-100)

80/ 100

Trend, momentum, volume and relative strength composite

Valuation

80/ 100

Higher = cheaper vs peers and own history

Final composite

61/ 100

Blended decision input

Data transparency

What's real, what's pending, on this page

Real financials loaded

✓ Real / verified

· Live price, day change, market cap — NSE direct
· 1Y OHLCV, RSI(14), 50/200 DMA, 1M/3M/1Y returns, RS vs Nifty — computed from real NSE OHLCV
· Sector P/E — NSE direct
· Promoter %, pledge %, MF/FII/public split, 9-quarter history — Trendlyne
· Earnings call AI summaries — Trendlyne (where available)
· Technical (TQ-100) score — computed from real OHLCV
· Annual revenue / EBITDA / PAT / OCF / FCF / equity / assets — Trendlyne (audited annuals)

⚠ Analyst-set (qualitative)

· Segment classification + semicon directness score — analyst seed
· Bull/bear case + monitorables (curated thesis) — analyst seed
· Governance risk score (seed) — being replaced by AI-agent assessment
· Synthesized 5Y forecast removed entirely (was inaccurate)

Real financials extracted for 42 of 45 companies. See /data-sources for full provenance.

Hindalco Industries · HINDALCO

₹1,057+15.48% over 6M

Price50 DMA200 DMA

RSI (14)

Momentum oscillator · 6M view

Volume (60D)

Fundamental score (SageOne 100)

48/ 100C

Growth 20 / Margin 15 / ROC 20 / Cash 15 / Leverage 10 / Reinvestment 8 / Accounting 7 / Governance 5 minus red flags (capped -20).

Base 52

Red flags -4

Growth quality/ 20

8.2

Rev 1Y 13.1% · 3Y CAGR 11.5%

Margin & profitability/ 15

4.6

EBITDA 8.7% · PAT 6.7%

Return on capital/ 20

6.4

ROCE 11% · ROE 10%

Cash flow quality/ 15

14.6

OCF/EBITDA 99% · FCF yield 3.4%

Leverage discipline/ 10

4.0

Net Debt/EBITDA 1.80x

Reinvestment runway/ 8

2.6

ROCE × retention proxy

Accounting quality/ 7

7.0

OCF conversion proxy

Governance/ 5

4.1

Pledge 0.0% · Risk 18/100

Red flags (1)

− Sub-threshold ROCEROCE 11% below 12% threshold-4

✓ Computed from real Trendlyne annuals (revenue, EBITDA, PAT, OCF, equity).

Technical score (TQ-100)

80/ 100A

Computed from real 1Y OHLCV pulled from NSE direct: trend, momentum, volume, RS vs Nifty, MA cluster, mean reversion, volatility, patterns minus red flags.

Base 80

Trend structure/ 20

19.8

Above 200DMA · -2% from 52W high

Momentum velocity/ 15

12.0

RSI(14) 50 · 1M 1.0%

Volume dynamics/ 15

13.5

Bucket: Mega Cap

Relative strength/ 15

5.5

RS vs Nifty -8%

MA cluster/ 10

10.0

200DMA + 1Y trend confirmation

Mean-reversion runway/ 10

8.3

RSI(14) 50; ideal 50-60

Volatility profile/ 8

3.6

Bucket: Mega Cap

Pattern integrity/ 7

7.0

Trend continuation proxy

AI research agents

Re-classify segment exposure and re-assess governance risk by running fresh AI agents on the latest data. Results cache to data/agents.json.

Segment classifier

Maps to value-chain segments + computes 0-100 directness

Seed: Raw Materials · 20/100

Governance assessor

Forensic-accounting flags + 0-100 risk score

Seed: 18/100 risk

AI thesis

Generates a fresh thesis grounded in this company's data. Wires to Anthropic when ANTHROPIC_API_KEY is set, otherwise returns a deterministic mock.

Curated thesis

Analyst-set bull, bear and monitorables · use AI thesis above for a fresh take

Cheap diversified metals giant; semicon angle marginal but copper/aluminium tailwind real.

Bull case

+Cheapest in cohort
+Strong FCF yield
+Copper demand tailwind

Bear case

−Commodity cycle
−Indirect semicon linkage
−Net debt

Key monitorables

Copper demandNet debt trajectoryMargin defense

Semiconductor exposure

How direct, how visible

Primary segment

Raw Materials

All segments

Raw Materials

Exposure type

Ancillary

Policy beneficiary

Limited

Import substitution

Medium / Low

Governance risk score

18/100 (lower = better)

Financial snapshot

Latest reported metrics · mock data, ready for live financials

Rev growth (1Y)

13.1%

Rev CAGR (3Y)

11.5%

EBITDA margin

8.7%

PAT margin

6.7%

ROCE

11%

ROE

10%

OCF / EBITDA

99%

Net Debt / EBITDA

1.8x

Promoter holding

34.6%

Promoter pledge

0.0%

Valuation

P/E (TTM)

14.6

Forward P/E

11.0

EV/EBITDA

29.0

EV/Sales

2.5

P/B

3.7

FCF Yield

3.4%

Dividend Yield

0.50%

Hist. percentile

40%

Peer percentile

30%

Technicals

RSI(14)

1M return

1.0%

1Y return

From 52W high

-2%

RS vs Nifty

-8%

>200 DMA

Yes

Annual financials — real data

Extracted from Trendlyne · audited annuals · TTM + last 6 fiscal years

✓ Real

Line	TTM	FY25	FY24	FY23	FY22	FY21	FY20
Revenue	₹1.05L cr	₹94.6k cr	₹83.7k cr	₹77.5k cr	₹68.2k cr	₹43.4k cr	₹41.0k cr
↳ YoY growth	+10.4%	+13.1%	+8.1%	+13.6%	+57.3%	+5.8%	—
EBITDA	₹12.5k cr	₹8.2k cr	₹8.0k cr	₹11.7k cr	₹4.7k cr	₹4.4k cr	₹5.2k cr
↳ EBITDA margin	12.0%	8.7%	9.6%	15.1%	7.0%	10.2%	12.7%
PAT	₹8.7k cr	₹6.4k cr	₹3.7k cr	₹3.3k cr	₹5.5k cr	₹993 cr	₹620 cr
↳ PAT margin	8.3%	6.7%	4.4%	4.3%	8.1%	2.3%	1.5%
OCF	₹8.9k cr	₹8.1k cr	₹4.8k cr	₹5.2k cr	₹5.6k cr	₹2.8k cr	₹2.9k cr
↳ OCF / EBITDA	71.2%	98.9%	60.4%	44.4%	117.3%	63.3%	56.3%
FCF (= OCF − capex)	₹1.5k cr	₹8.1k cr	₹3.4k cr	₹3.3k cr	₹2.1k cr	₹542 cr	₹2.4k cr
Total Equity	₹70.2k cr	₹63.7k cr	₹58.5k cr	₹54.4k cr	₹50.1k cr	₹45.5k cr	₹48.6k cr
Total Assets	₹1.09L cr	₹97.0k cr	₹96.9k cr	₹99.1k cr	₹87.9k cr	₹80.1k cr	₹81.5k cr
↳ ROE	12.4%	10.0%	6.3%	6.1%	11.0%	2.2%	1.3%
↳ ROA	8.0%	6.6%	3.8%	3.4%	6.3%	1.2%	0.8%

Source: Trendlyne (Standalone where Consolidated unavailable). Last refresh on real-data ingest.

Promoter pledge & shareholding history

From Trendlyne · 9 quarters · synced Invalid Date

Pledge: 0.0%

Promoter

34.6%

Mutual Funds

11.4%

FII

30.0%

Public

9.0%

Promoter holding trend

34.6

Mar

34.6

Jun

34.6

Sep

34.6

Dec

34.6

Mar

34.6

Jun

34.6

Sep

34.6

Dec

34.6

Mar

Δ:+0.0% over 9 quarters

Commentary

·Aditya Birla Group holding stable at 34.6%
·No pledge
·Heavy FII (30%) — institutional sponsorship

Management quality

Capital allocation, debt discipline, alignment, governance composite. Computed from disclosed metrics.

Capital allocation

Sub-threshold ROCE; capital allocation needs scrutiny.

ROCE 11%, div yield 0.5%

Promoter holding

Moderate promoter holding.

34.6%

Promoter pledge

No pledging — cleanest signal.

0.0%

Debt discipline

Watch — leverage building.

Net Debt/EBITDA 1.80x

Cash conversion

Reported EBITDA reliably translates into cash.

OCF/EBITDA 99%

Governance composite

Clean governance signals across pledging, RPTs, auditor, KMP pay.

18/100 risk

Variant perception

What the market is pricing in versus our read, and what would invalidate the thesis.

What the market is pricing in

Steady but unspectacular execution. Multiples reflect mid-pack expectations.

What we think it's missing

Consensus appears reasonable. Look for thesis-changing catalysts (margin inflection, new customer wins, segment mix shift) rather than narrative re-rating alone.

Thesis killers

×Leverage surprise — capex overrun without corresponding revenue ramp

References

Wire to live data sources in production

NSE filings Screener BSE corporate filings Annual report (latest)Concall transcript (latest)Investor presentation