K
OSAT / ATMP

Kaynes Technology

KAYNESNSEMid Cap
Live₹4,380syncing…

Vertically integrated EMS, PCBA and OSAT player with Kaynes Semicon subsidiary executing an ISM-approved OSAT facility.

Market Cap
₹29.4k cr
Price
4380
1Y 14%
Direct exposure
90/100
0–100 directness
Hold / Watchlist
Fundamental
54/ 100
C

Quality of growth, returns, cash conversion and balance sheet

Technical (TQ-100)
75/ 100
A

Trend, momentum, volume and relative strength composite

Valuation
28/ 100

Higher = cheaper vs peers and own history

Final composite
61/ 100

Blended decision input

Data transparency

What's real, what's pending, on this page

Real financials loaded
✓ Real / verified
  • · Live price, day change, market cap — NSE direct
  • · 1Y OHLCV, RSI(14), 50/200 DMA, 1M/3M/1Y returns, RS vs Nifty — computed from real NSE OHLCV
  • · Sector P/E — NSE direct
  • · Promoter %, pledge %, MF/FII/public split, 9-quarter history — Trendlyne
  • · Earnings call AI summaries — Trendlyne (where available)
  • · Technical (TQ-100) score — computed from real OHLCV
  • · Annual revenue / EBITDA / PAT / OCF / FCF / equity / assets — Trendlyne (audited annuals)
⚠ Analyst-set (qualitative)
  • · Segment classification + semicon directness score — analyst seed
  • · Bull/bear case + monitorables (curated thesis) — analyst seed
  • · Governance risk score (seed) — being replaced by AI-agent assessment
  • · Synthesized 5Y forecast removed entirely (was inaccurate)
Real financials extracted for 42 of 45 companies. See /data-sources for full provenance.
Kaynes Technology · KAYNES
4,380+15.98% over 6M
Price50 DMA200 DMA
RSI (14)
Momentum oscillator · 6M view
Volume (60D)
Fundamental score (SageOne 100)
54/ 100C

Growth 20 / Margin 15 / ROC 20 / Cash 15 / Leverage 10 / Reinvestment 8 / Accounting 7 / Governance 5 minus red flags (capped -20).

Base 58
Red flags -4
Growth quality/ 20
20.0
Rev 1Y 53.4% · 3Y CAGR 44.8%
Margin & profitability/ 15
6.5
EBITDA 11.5% · PAT 10.2%
Return on capital/ 20
12.3
ROCE 22% · ROE 18%
Cash flow quality/ 15
0.0
OCF/EBITDA -44% · FCF yield -4.8%
Leverage discipline/ 10
9.3
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.20x
Reinvestment runway/ 8
5.9
ROCE × retention proxy
Accounting quality/ 7
0.0
OCF conversion proxy
Governance/ 5
4.1
Pledge 0.0% · Risk 18/100
Red flags (1)
  • Weak cash conversionOCF/EBITDA -44% < 50%-4
✓ Computed from real Trendlyne annuals (revenue, EBITDA, PAT, OCF, equity).
Technical score (TQ-100)
75/ 100A

Computed from real 1Y OHLCV pulled from NSE direct: trend, momentum, volume, RS vs Nifty, MA cluster, mean reversion, volatility, patterns minus red flags.

Base 83
Red flags -8
Trend structure/ 20
16.5
Above 200DMA · -43% from 52W high
Momentum velocity/ 15
15.0
RSI(14) 60 · 1M 4.0%
Volume dynamics/ 15
10.5
Bucket: Mid Cap
Relative strength/ 15
8.8
RS vs Nifty 5%
MA cluster/ 10
10.0
200DMA + 1Y trend confirmation
Mean-reversion runway/ 10
8.3
RSI(14) 60; ideal 50-60
Volatility profile/ 8
6.8
Bucket: Mid Cap
Pattern integrity/ 7
7.0
Trend continuation proxy
Red flags (1)
  • Deep drawdown-43% from 52W high-8

AI research agents

Re-classify segment exposure and re-assess governance risk by running fresh AI agents on the latest data. Results cache to data/agents.json.

Segment classifier
Maps to value-chain segments + computes 0-100 directness
Seed: OSAT / ATMP · 90/100
Governance assessor
Forensic-accounting flags + 0-100 risk score
Seed: 18/100 risk

AI thesis

Generates a fresh thesis grounded in this company's data. Wires to Anthropic when ANTHROPIC_API_KEY is set, otherwise returns a deterministic mock.

Curated thesis

Analyst-set bull, bear and monitorables · use AI thesis above for a fresh take

Highest-conviction listed pure-play on India OSAT plus broad EMS pull-through. Valuations are full but justified by execution.

Bull case
  • +ISM-approved OSAT project at Sanand
  • +Vertically integrated EMS+OSAT moat
  • +Order book multi-year visibility
Bear case
  • High working capital intensity
  • Execution risk on OSAT ramp
  • Valuations leave little margin of safety
Key monitorables
OSAT capex spend on scheduleCustomer qualification milestonesWorking capital days

Semiconductor exposure

How direct, how visible

Primary segment
OSAT / ATMP
All segments
OSAT / ATMP, EMS / Box Build, PCB / PCBA
Exposure type
Direct
Policy beneficiary
Yes
Import substitution
High
Governance risk score
18/100 (lower = better)

Financial snapshot

Latest reported metrics · mock data, ready for live financials

Rev growth (1Y)
53.4%
Rev CAGR (3Y)
44.8%
EBITDA margin
11.5%
PAT margin
10.2%
ROCE
22%
ROE
18%
OCF / EBITDA
-44%
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.2x
Promoter holding
60.5%
Promoter pledge
0.0%
Valuation
P/E (TTM)
74.2
Forward P/E
60.0
EV/EBITDA
124.6
EV/Sales
14.3
P/B
9.2
FCF Yield
-4.8%
Dividend Yield
0.00%
Hist. percentile
70%
Peer percentile
80%
Technicals
RSI(14)
60
1M return
4.0%
1Y return
14%
From 52W high
-43%
RS vs Nifty
5%
>200 DMA
Yes
Annual financials — real data

Extracted from Trendlyne · audited annuals · TTM + last 4 fiscal years

✓ Real
LineTTMFY25FY24FY23FY22
Revenue₹2.3k cr₹2.1k cr₹1.3k cr₹1.1k cr₹676 cr
↳ YoY growth+13.9%+53.4%+21.8%+62.4%
EBITDA₹390 cr₹236 cr₹177 cr₹95 cr
↳ EBITDA margin16.7%11.5%13.2%8.6%
PAT₹244 cr₹210 cr₹126 cr₹95 cr₹41 cr
↳ PAT margin10.4%10.2%9.4%8.6%6.1%
OCF₹65 cr₹-103 cr₹-52 cr₹15 cr
↳ OCF / EBITDA16.7%-43.8%-29.6%15.5%
FCF (= OCF − capex)₹-257 cr₹-1.4k cr₹-533 cr₹-23 cr
Total Equity
Total Assets₹3.9k cr₹3.0k cr₹1.4k cr₹609 cr
↳ ROE
↳ ROA6.3%7.1%9.0%15.6%
Source: Trendlyne (Standalone where Consolidated unavailable). Last refresh on real-data ingest.
Promoter pledge & shareholding history

From Trendlyne · 9 quarters · synced Invalid Date

Pledge: 0.0%
Promoter
53.5%
Mutual Funds
13.0%
FII
7.3%
Public
24.1%
Promoter holding trend
57.8
Mar
57.8
Jun
57.8
Sep
57.8
Dec
53.5
Mar
53.5
Jun
53.5
Sep
53.5
Dec
53.5
Mar
Δ:-4.3% over 9 quartersWatch — meaningful dilution
Commentary
  • ·Promoter holding dropped from 57.8% to 53.5% in Mar 2025 (one-time)
  • ·No pledge

Earnings call summaries

AI-extracted from 1 concall via Trendlyne

Kaynes Technology Q2 FY2026 Earnings Call
2025-11-08
Ask transcript →
Financial Performance

Kaynes Technology reported a robust Q2 FY26 with revenue of INR 9,062 million (up 58% YoY), an operational EBITDA of INR 1,480 million (up 80%), and a PAT margin of 13.4%, reflecting strong execution and substantial year-on-year growth.

Order Book and Growth Outlook

The company's order book stands at INR 80,994 million as of Q2 FY26, up from INR 54,228 million in the previous year, indicative of strong demand and healthy business traction across its verticals.

Business Transformation and Strategic Direction

Kaynes is evolving from a service-led EMS (Electronic Manufacturing Services) model to an integrated ESDM (Electronic System Design and Manufacturing) model, emphasizing product-led growth, backward integration, and system-wide digitalization.

Semiconductor and PCB Initiatives

Major milestones were achieved in semiconductors, including the first commercial multichip modules from the new Sanand OSAT facility, and significant progress in advanced PCB manufacturing with government backing and upcoming facilities in Hyderabad and Chennai.

Management quality

Capital allocation, debt discipline, alignment, governance composite. Computed from disclosed metrics.

Capital allocation
Sustained high return on capital indicates disciplined reinvestment.
ROCE 22%, div yield 0.0%
Promoter holding
Promoter has strong skin in the game.
60.5%
Promoter pledge
No pledging — cleanest signal.
0.0%
Debt discipline
Comfortable leverage band.
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.20x
Cash conversion
Weak cash conversion — investigate working capital and quality of earnings.
OCF/EBITDA -44%
Governance composite
Clean governance signals across pledging, RPTs, auditor, KMP pay.
18/100 risk
Variant perception

What the market is pricing in versus our read, and what would invalidate the thesis.

What the market is pricing in

Continued execution and policy tailwinds. The market has rewarded Kaynes Technology for delivery and is paying a premium for what comes next.

What we think it's missing

Direct semiconductor exposure with strong policy alignment is structurally underestimated until project milestones materialize. Re-rating likely to be event-driven, not linear.

Thesis killers
  • ×Working capital blowout disclosed in next quarterly result
  • ×Project execution slip beyond stated commissioning date
  • ×Multiple compression on a single weak earnings print