K
Ultra Clean Water

Praj Industries

PRAJINDNSESmall Cap
Live₹403.15syncing…

Process engineering with bioenergy and process water systems; semicon exposure indirect via process systems.

Market Cap
₹7.4k cr
Price
403
1Y 4%
Direct exposure
25/100
0–100 directness
Hold
Fundamental
46/ 100
C

Quality of growth, returns, cash conversion and balance sheet

Technical (TQ-100)
63/ 100
B

Trend, momentum, volume and relative strength composite

Valuation
58/ 100

Higher = cheaper vs peers and own history

Final composite
54/ 100

Blended decision input

Data transparency

What's real, what's pending, on this page

Real financials loaded
✓ Real / verified
  • · Live price, day change, market cap — NSE direct
  • · 1Y OHLCV, RSI(14), 50/200 DMA, 1M/3M/1Y returns, RS vs Nifty — computed from real NSE OHLCV
  • · Sector P/E — NSE direct
  • · Promoter %, pledge %, MF/FII/public split, 9-quarter history — Trendlyne
  • · Earnings call AI summaries — Trendlyne (where available)
  • · Technical (TQ-100) score — computed from real OHLCV
  • · Annual revenue / EBITDA / PAT / OCF / FCF / equity / assets — Trendlyne (audited annuals)
⚠ Analyst-set (qualitative)
  • · Segment classification + semicon directness score — analyst seed
  • · Bull/bear case + monitorables (curated thesis) — analyst seed
  • · Governance risk score (seed) — being replaced by AI-agent assessment
  • · Synthesized 5Y forecast removed entirely (was inaccurate)
Real financials extracted for 42 of 45 companies. See /data-sources for full provenance.
Praj Industries · PRAJIND
403.15+36.49% over 6M
Price50 DMA200 DMA
RSI (14)
Momentum oscillator · 6M view
Volume (60D)
Fundamental score (SageOne 100)
46/ 100C

Growth 20 / Margin 15 / ROC 20 / Cash 15 / Leverage 10 / Reinvestment 8 / Accounting 7 / Governance 5 minus red flags (capped -20).

Base 54
Red flags -8
Growth quality/ 20
0.7
Rev 1Y -8.3% · 3Y CAGR 10.4%
Margin & profitability/ 15
7.2
EBITDA 14.4% · PAT 9.4%
Return on capital/ 20
14.8
ROCE 27% · ROE 21%
Cash flow quality/ 15
6.9
OCF/EBITDA 44% · FCF yield 2.0%
Leverage discipline/ 10
10.0
Net Debt/EBITDA -1.20x
Reinvestment runway/ 8
6.1
ROCE × retention proxy
Accounting quality/ 7
3.8
OCF conversion proxy
Governance/ 5
4.2
Pledge 0.0% · Risk 16/100
Red flags (2)
  • Weak cash conversionOCF/EBITDA 44% < 50%-4
  • Declining revenueRev 1Y -8.3%-4
✓ Computed from real Trendlyne annuals (revenue, EBITDA, PAT, OCF, equity).
Technical score (TQ-100)
63/ 100B

Computed from real 1Y OHLCV pulled from NSE direct: trend, momentum, volume, RS vs Nifty, MA cluster, mean reversion, volatility, patterns minus red flags.

Base 71
Red flags -8
Trend structure/ 20
18.0
Above 200DMA · -25% from 52W high
Momentum velocity/ 15
9.8
RSI(14) 48 · 1M -1.0%
Volume dynamics/ 15
8.3
Bucket: Small Cap
Relative strength/ 15
5.5
RS vs Nifty -8%
MA cluster/ 10
10.0
200DMA + 1Y trend confirmation
Mean-reversion runway/ 10
7.7
RSI(14) 48; ideal 50-60
Volatility profile/ 8
4.8
Bucket: Small Cap
Pattern integrity/ 7
7.0
Trend continuation proxy
Red flags (1)
  • Deep drawdown-25% from 52W high-8

AI research agents

Re-classify segment exposure and re-assess governance risk by running fresh AI agents on the latest data. Results cache to data/agents.json.

Segment classifier
Maps to value-chain segments + computes 0-100 directness
Seed: Ultra Clean Water · 25/100
Governance assessor
Forensic-accounting flags + 0-100 risk score
Seed: 16/100 risk

AI thesis

Generates a fresh thesis grounded in this company's data. Wires to Anthropic when ANTHROPIC_API_KEY is set, otherwise returns a deterministic mock.

Curated thesis

Analyst-set bull, bear and monitorables · use AI thesis above for a fresh take

Process engineering quality compounder; semicon angle is incremental, core thesis is bioenergy and chemicals.

Bull case
  • +Net cash
  • +Bioenergy tailwind
  • +Process water optionality
Bear case
  • Order book lumpiness
  • Indirect semicon exposure
  • Bioenergy policy uncertainty
Key monitorables
Bioenergy order bookMargin trajectoryUPW project wins

Semiconductor exposure

How direct, how visible

Primary segment
Ultra Clean Water
All segments
Ultra Clean Water
Exposure type
Ancillary
Policy beneficiary
Possible
Import substitution
Medium / Low
Governance risk score
16/100 (lower = better)

Financial snapshot

Latest reported metrics · mock data, ready for live financials

Rev growth (1Y)
-8.3%
Rev CAGR (3Y)
10.4%
EBITDA margin
14.4%
PAT margin
9.4%
ROCE
27%
ROE
21%
OCF / EBITDA
44%
Net Debt / EBITDA
-1.2x
Promoter holding
32.8%
Promoter pledge
0.0%
Valuation
P/E (TTM)
141.9
Forward P/E
26.0
EV/EBITDA
18.3
EV/Sales
2.6
P/B
5.9
FCF Yield
2.0%
Dividend Yield
0.60%
Hist. percentile
50%
Peer percentile
40%
Technicals
RSI(14)
48
1M return
-1.0%
1Y return
4%
From 52W high
-25%
RS vs Nifty
-8%
>200 DMA
Yes
Annual financials — real data

Extracted from Trendlyne · audited annuals · TTM + last 6 fiscal years

✓ Real
LineTTMFY25FY24FY23FY22FY21FY20
Revenue₹2.6k cr₹2.8k cr₹3.1k cr₹3.2k cr₹2.1k cr₹1.1k cr₹976 cr
↳ YoY growth-5.6%-8.3%-4.5%+53.6%+87.6%+14.0%
EBITDA₹371 cr₹405 cr₹340 cr₹206 cr₹118 cr₹109 cr₹102 cr
↳ EBITDA margin14.0%14.4%11.1%6.4%5.7%9.8%10.4%
PAT₹137 cr₹264 cr₹280 cr₹238 cr₹164 cr₹71 cr₹65 cr
↳ PAT margin5.2%9.4%9.2%7.4%7.9%6.4%6.6%
OCF₹75 cr₹178 cr₹131 cr₹153 cr₹210 cr₹14 cr₹4 cr
↳ OCF / EBITDA20.1%43.9%38.5%74.4%177.8%12.5%4.2%
FCF (= OCF − capex)₹75 cr₹148 cr₹65 cr₹47 cr₹55 cr₹14 cr₹1 cr
Total Equity₹1.4k cr₹1.3k cr₹1.1k cr₹907 cr₹777 cr₹704 cr₹736 cr
Total Assets₹2.8k cr₹2.5k cr₹2.4k cr₹2.1k cr₹1.5k cr₹1.1k cr₹1.2k cr
↳ ROE9.7%21.0%26.3%26.2%21.2%10.1%8.8%
↳ ROA4.9%10.4%11.5%11.5%11.2%6.7%5.5%
Source: Trendlyne (Standalone where Consolidated unavailable). Last refresh on real-data ingest.
Promoter pledge & shareholding history

From Trendlyne · 9 quarters · synced Invalid Date

Pledge: 0.0%
Promoter
32.8%
Mutual Funds
12.3%
FII
17.7%
Public
36.8%
Promoter holding trend
32.8
Mar
32.8
Jun
32.8
Sep
32.8
Dec
32.8
Mar
32.8
Jun
32.8
Sep
32.8
Dec
32.8
Mar
Δ:+0.0% over 9 quarters
Commentary
  • ·Promoter stable at 32.8%
  • ·No pledge
  • ·Diversified institutional holding
Management quality

Capital allocation, debt discipline, alignment, governance composite. Computed from disclosed metrics.

Capital allocation
Sustained high return on capital indicates disciplined reinvestment.
ROCE 27%, div yield 0.6%
Promoter holding
Moderate promoter holding.
32.8%
Promoter pledge
No pledging — cleanest signal.
0.0%
Debt discipline
Net cash balance sheet.
Net Debt/EBITDA -1.20x
Cash conversion
Weak cash conversion — investigate working capital and quality of earnings.
OCF/EBITDA 44%
Governance composite
Clean governance signals across pledging, RPTs, auditor, KMP pay.
16/100 risk
Variant perception

What the market is pricing in versus our read, and what would invalidate the thesis.

What the market is pricing in

Steady but unspectacular execution. Multiples reflect mid-pack expectations.

What we think it's missing

Consensus appears reasonable. Look for thesis-changing catalysts (margin inflection, new customer wins, segment mix shift) rather than narrative re-rating alone.

Thesis killers
  • ×Working capital blowout disclosed in next quarterly result