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Logistics

Transport Corporation of India

TCINSESmall Cap
Live₹979.95syncing…

Integrated logistics with chemical and sensitive freight handling capabilities.

Market Cap
₹7.5k cr
Price
980
1Y 6%
Direct exposure
25/100
0–100 directness
Hold / Watchlist
Fundamental
59/ 100
B

Quality of growth, returns, cash conversion and balance sheet

Technical (TQ-100)
73/ 100
B+

Trend, momentum, volume and relative strength composite

Valuation
65/ 100

Higher = cheaper vs peers and own history

Final composite
61/ 100

Blended decision input

Data transparency

What's real, what's pending, on this page

Real financials loaded
✓ Real / verified
  • · Live price, day change, market cap — NSE direct
  • · 1Y OHLCV, RSI(14), 50/200 DMA, 1M/3M/1Y returns, RS vs Nifty — computed from real NSE OHLCV
  • · Sector P/E — NSE direct
  • · Promoter %, pledge %, MF/FII/public split, 9-quarter history — Trendlyne
  • · Earnings call AI summaries — Trendlyne (where available)
  • · Technical (TQ-100) score — computed from real OHLCV
  • · Annual revenue / EBITDA / PAT / OCF / FCF / equity / assets — Trendlyne (audited annuals)
⚠ Analyst-set (qualitative)
  • · Segment classification + semicon directness score — analyst seed
  • · Bull/bear case + monitorables (curated thesis) — analyst seed
  • · Governance risk score (seed) — being replaced by AI-agent assessment
  • · Synthesized 5Y forecast removed entirely (was inaccurate)
Real financials extracted for 42 of 45 companies. See /data-sources for full provenance.
Transport Corporation of India · TCI
₹979.95-27.88% over 6M
Price50 DMA200 DMA
RSI (14)
Momentum oscillator · 6M view
Volume (60D)
Fundamental score (SageOne 100)
59/ 100B

Growth 20 / Margin 15 / ROC 20 / Cash 15 / Leverage 10 / Reinvestment 8 / Accounting 7 / Governance 5 minus red flags (capped -20).

Base 59
Growth quality/ 20
6.9
Rev 1Y 9.3% · 3Y CAGR 11.4%
Margin & profitability/ 15
6.6
EBITDA 12.1% · PAT 9.8%
Return on capital/ 20
13.6
ROCE 23% · ROE 21%
Cash flow quality/ 15
7.5
OCF/EBITDA 65% · FCF yield -0.7%
Leverage discipline/ 10
10.0
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.40x
Reinvestment runway/ 8
5.1
ROCE × retention proxy
Accounting quality/ 7
5.6
OCF conversion proxy
Governance/ 5
4.1
Pledge 0.0% · Risk 18/100
✓ Computed from real Trendlyne annuals (revenue, EBITDA, PAT, OCF, equity).
Technical score (TQ-100)
73/ 100B+

Computed from real 1Y OHLCV pulled from NSE direct: trend, momentum, volume, RS vs Nifty, MA cluster, mean reversion, volatility, patterns minus red flags.

Base 73
Trend structure/ 20
18.1
Above 200DMA · -24% from 52W high
Momentum velocity/ 15
11.3
RSI(14) 50 · 1M 0.0%
Volume dynamics/ 15
8.3
Bucket: Small Cap
Relative strength/ 15
5.5
RS vs Nifty -8%
MA cluster/ 10
10.0
200DMA + 1Y trend confirmation
Mean-reversion runway/ 10
8.3
RSI(14) 50; ideal 50-60
Volatility profile/ 8
4.8
Bucket: Small Cap
Pattern integrity/ 7
7.0
Trend continuation proxy

AI research agents

Re-classify segment exposure and re-assess governance risk by running fresh AI agents on the latest data. Results cache to data/agents.json.

Segment classifier
Maps to value-chain segments + computes 0-100 directness
Seed: Logistics · 25/100
Governance assessor
Forensic-accounting flags + 0-100 risk score
Seed: 18/100 risk

AI thesis

Generates a fresh thesis grounded in this company's data. Wires to Anthropic when ANTHROPIC_API_KEY is set, otherwise returns a deterministic mock.

Curated thesis

Analyst-set bull, bear and monitorables · use AI thesis above for a fresh take

Reasonably-valued integrated logistics franchise with chemical/sensitive freight optionality.

Bull case
  • +Reasonable valuation
  • +Integrated network
  • +Chemical freight optionality
Bear case
  • −Indirect semicon linkage
  • −Cyclical freight
  • −Margin volatility
Key monitorables
Chemical/sensitive freight mixMargin sustainabilityCargo growth

Semiconductor exposure

How direct, how visible

Primary segment
Logistics
All segments
Logistics
Exposure type
Ancillary
Policy beneficiary
Possible
Import substitution
Medium / Low
Governance risk score
18/100 (lower = better)

Financial snapshot

Latest reported metrics · mock data, ready for live financials

Rev growth (1Y)
9.3%
Rev CAGR (3Y)
11.4%
EBITDA margin
12.1%
PAT margin
9.8%
ROCE
23%
ROE
21%
OCF / EBITDA
65%
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.4x
Promoter holding
67.0%
Promoter pledge
0.0%
Valuation
P/E (TTM)
20.3
Forward P/E
18.0
EV/EBITDA
15.3
EV/Sales
1.9
P/B
4.1
FCF Yield
-0.7%
Dividend Yield
0.70%
Hist. percentile
50%
Peer percentile
50%
Technicals
RSI(14)
50
1M return
0.0%
1Y return
6%
From 52W high
-24%
RS vs Nifty
-8%
>200 DMA
Yes
Annual financials — real data

Extracted from Trendlyne · audited annuals · TTM + last 6 fiscal years

✓ Real
LineTTMFY25FY24FY23FY22FY21FY20
Revenue₹4.2k cr₹4.1k cr₹3.7k cr₹3.5k cr₹2.9k cr₹2.5k cr₹2.5k cr
↳ YoY growth+4.3%+9.3%+6.3%+19.0%+18.0%-2.1%—
EBITDA₹559 cr₹491 cr₹469 cr₹422 cr₹283 cr₹262 cr₹271 cr
↳ EBITDA margin13.2%12.1%12.6%12.1%9.6%10.5%10.7%
PAT₹433 cr₹396 cr₹328 cr₹304 cr₹267 cr₹135 cr₹126 cr
↳ PAT margin10.2%9.8%8.8%8.7%9.1%5.4%5.0%
OCF₹341 cr₹317 cr₹342 cr₹356 cr₹304 cr₹235 cr₹169 cr
↳ OCF / EBITDA61.0%64.5%72.8%84.3%107.6%89.9%62.3%
FCF (= OCF − capex)₹235 cr₹-52 cr₹156 cr₹283 cr₹208 cr₹101 cr₹21 cr
Total Equity₹2.0k cr₹1.8k cr₹1.6k cr₹1.3k cr₹1.1k cr₹950 cr₹837 cr
Total Assets₹2.5k cr₹2.2k cr₹1.9k cr₹1.6k cr₹1.6k cr₹1.6k cr₹1.5k cr
↳ ROE21.9%21.4%20.9%23.1%24.8%14.2%15.1%
↳ ROA17.5%17.7%17.2%18.6%16.9%8.6%8.3%
Source: Trendlyne (Standalone where Consolidated unavailable). Last refresh on real-data ingest.
Promoter pledge & shareholding history

From Trendlyne · 9 quarters · synced Invalid Date

Pledge: 0.0%
Promoter
68.7%
Mutual Funds
11.5%
FII
3.0%
Public
15.4%
Promoter holding trend
68.9
Mar
68.8
Jun
68.8
Sep
68.7
Dec
68.8
Mar
68.7
Jun
68.7
Sep
68.7
Dec
68.7
Mar
Δ:-0.2% over 9 quarters
Commentary
  • ·Promoter stable at 68.7%
  • ·No pledge
Management quality

Capital allocation, debt discipline, alignment, governance composite. Computed from disclosed metrics.

Capital allocation
Sustained high return on capital indicates disciplined reinvestment.
ROCE 23%, div yield 0.7%
Promoter holding
Promoter has strong skin in the game.
67.0%
Promoter pledge
No pledging — cleanest signal.
0.0%
Debt discipline
Net cash balance sheet.
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.40x
Cash conversion
Acceptable conversion; track working capital cycles.
OCF/EBITDA 65%
Governance composite
Clean governance signals across pledging, RPTs, auditor, KMP pay.
18/100 risk
Variant perception

What the market is pricing in versus our read, and what would invalidate the thesis.

What the market is pricing in

Steady but unspectacular execution. Multiples reflect mid-pack expectations.

What we think it's missing

Consensus appears reasonable. Look for thesis-changing catalysts (margin inflection, new customer wins, segment mix shift) rather than narrative re-rating alone.

Thesis killers
  • ×Working capital blowout disclosed in next quarterly result

References

Wire to live data sources in production

NSE filingsScreenerBSE corporate filingsAnnual report (latest)Concall transcript (latest)Investor presentation